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Cal Twomey's late mail: The final predicted draft order

AFL.com.au predicts the draft order ahead of tonight's NAB AFL National Draft

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Draft hopefuls start the 2km time trial at the WA Draft Combine on 1 October

Essendon's suite of top-10 picks is set to shape the first round of Wednesday night's NAB AFL Draft as the Bombers weigh up their mix of potential recruits.

The Bombers' trio of choices – should they hold all three picks – are central to proceedings as clubs look at maneuvering their selections to target certain prospects. 

As North Melbourne looks at potentially splitting its pick No.2, possibly with Hawthorn at No.4, rival clubs believe the top five players (aside from Western Bulldogs Academy prospect Jamarra Ugle-Hagan) are firming to be Riley Thilthorpe, Logan McDonald, Elijah Hollands, Denver Grainger-Barras and Will Phillips. 

It leaves plenty of intrigue around the Bombers' picks, with the Giants among clubs sweating on who Essendon chooses.  

The club is considering a tall, with Zach Reid and Nik Cox linked strongly and recently both being interviewed by Essendon. Midfielder Tanner Bruhn is also in their sights and would be right in the mix for the Crows, Giants, Kangaroos and Fremantle if he slipped past. 

Archie Perkins is another who the Bombers are considering, having put in plenty of time keeping tabs on the exciting Sandringham Dragons half-forward/midfielder. Hawthorn interviewed Perkins on Monday and he is still in their considerations for pick No.4, alongside Cox as a wildcard option.  

Hybrid forward Oliver Henry has also been linked to the Bombers and is in their mix.  

 

At Tuesday's draft rehearsal involving clubs logging in to the online link remotely, rivals spotted Perkins, Cox and Brayden Cook's names circled and placed alongside the magnets of already-listed Bombers in different parts of the ground.  

Every club was able to see each other’s recruiting or list manager in the online meeting, with the national draft to be held virtually for the first time ever. 

The 'gaffe' follows the uploaded-then-quickly-deleted Instagram post from Irving Mosquito during the Trade Period where the Bombers had circled rival players' names on their draft room whiteboard as part of a Geelong and Greater Western Sydney potential deal.  

The Giants have held talks with Adelaide about potentially swapping picks 13 and 15 for nine and 23 to move up the board, with Reid, Cox and Heath Chapman all on their radar. Greater Western Sydney also likes Perkins, Bruhn and Henry, with the Giants interviewing the latter again over the weekend.  

The logjam of clubs from pick 10 to 15 are all interested in the same group of players, with Cook, Henry, Luke Pedlar and the group of talls all linked to that part of the draft. The Crows have recently interviewed Reef McInnes and showed their intent to bid on the Collingwood Next Generation Academy prospect, with the Pies and Crows also a chance to swap selections within the first round. 

Another player to watch will be Finlay Macrae, with the potential for the younger brother of Western Bulldogs star Jack to slide through to the later stages of the first round as Richmond and Melbourne track him closely with their top-20 picks.  

Mystery still surrounds the top of the draft, with the Crows linked to bidding on Jamarra Ugle-Hagan from the Bulldogs and then choosing between Riley Thilthorpe and Logan McDonald with their live choice.  

 
 

That has a ripple effect either way, although given the Roos' interest in Hollands, they have explored the possibility of shifting back down the order marginally and still getting a player they have targeted.  

The Swans are mindful of the possibility of Hawthorn bidding on Academy prospect Braeden Campbell at their opening selection. 

Countless pick swaps have been tabled between clubs in recent days as recruiters and list managers look to reshape their draft hands. St Kilda is looking to edge up the draft board in the first round, while Richmond could still tap out at the right offer and swap its first selection for a future pick.  

If North doesn't execute a trade with its No.2 pick it will continue to look for a third first-round pick at the back end, while the Bombers have had talks with the Magpies on a swap but are after a future first-round pick and No.14 to slide back. 

LATE MAIL PHANTOM DRAFT

1 – Western Bulldogs (matching Adelaide's bid) – Jamarra Ugle-Hagan 
2 – Adelaide – Riley Thilthorpe
3 – North Melbourne – Elijah Hollands
4 – Sydney – Denver Grainger-Barras
5 – Hawthorn – Logan McDonald
6 – Gold Coast – Will Phillips
7 – Essendon – Tanner Bruhn
8 – Essendon – Zach Reid
9 – Sydney (matching Essendon's bid) – Braeden Campbell
10 – Essendon – Oliver Henry
11 – Adelaide – Reef McInnes
12 – Greater Western Sydney – Heath Chapman
13 –North Melbourne – Tom Powell
14 – Fremantle – Brayden Cook 
15 – Greater Western Sydney – Nik Cox
16 – Collingwood – Archie Perkins
17 – Port Adelaide (matching Greater Western Sydney's bid) – Lachie Jones
18 – Greater Western Sydney – Bailey Laurie
19 – Collingwood – Conor Stone
20 – Richmond – Finlay Macrae
21 – Melbourne – Jack Carroll
22 – Sydney (Matching Melbourne's bid) – Errol Gulden
23 – Melbourne – Max Holmes
24 – Greater Western Sydney – Luke Pedlar
25 – Hawthorn (Matching St Kilda's bid) – Connor Downie
26 – St Kilda – Nathan O'Driscoll
27 – Adelaide – Caleb Poulter
28 – Adelaide – Liam Kolar
29 – Brisbane – Sam Berry
30 – Greater Western Sydney – Shannon Neale

DRAFT ORDER

 

ROUND ONE

1 Adelaide
2 North Melbourne
3 Sydney
4 Hawthorn
5 Gold Coast
6 Essendon
7 Essendon (compensation pick for losing free agent Joe Daniher
8 Essendon (received from Carlton as part of Adam Saad trade)
9 Adelaide (received from GWS in 2019)
10 GWS (compensation pick for losing free agent Zac Williams)
11 North Melbourne (received from Melbourne in 2019)
12 Fremantle*
13 GWS (received from Geelong as part of Jeremy Cameron trade; mid-round concession pick received from Gold Coast in 2019)
14 Collingwood (received from Western Bulldogs as part of Adam Treloar trade)
15 GWS (received from Geelong as part of Jeremy Cameron trade; received from West Coast in 2019)
16 Collingwood
17 Richmond (received from St Kilda as part of Jack Higgins trade)
18 Melbourne (received from Brisbane as part of a pick swap)
19 Melbourne (received from Brisbane as part of a pick swap; originally received from Port Adelaide in 2019)
20 GWS (received from Geelong as part of Jeremy Cameron trade)
21 St Kilda (received from Richmond as part of Jack Higgins trade)

*Fremantle's first pick was adjusted due to a 264.9 deficit from 2019

ROUND TWO

22 Adelaide
23 Adelaide (compensation pick for losing free agent Brad Crouch)
24 Hawthorn (received from North Melbourne in 2019)
25 Brisbane (received from Melbourne as part of a pick swap; received from Sydney in a pick swap)
26 GWS (received from Western Bulldogs in a pick swap; received from Collingwood as part of Adam Treloar deal; received from North Melbourne as part of Jaidyn Stephenson trade; received from Melbourne as part of Ben Brown trade; originally received from Hawthorn in 2019)
27 Geelong (received from Gold Coast as part of a pick swap)
28 Melbourne (received from North Melbourne as part of Ben Brown trade; received from Essendon in 2019)
29 Western Bulldogs (received from GWS in a pick swap; received from Essendon as part of Jye Caldwell trade; originally received from Port Adelaide as part of Orazio Fantasia trade; received from Fremantle in 2019)
30 North Melbourne (received from Geelong for Shaun Higgins; originally received from Carlton as part of Lachie Fogarty trade)
31 Carlton (received from Sydney in a pick swap; received from Melbourne in a pick swap; received from GWS for Braydon Preuss; originally a compensation pick for losing free agent Aidan Corr)
32 Fremantle (received from Melbourne in 2019)
33 Western Bulldogs (received from Collingwood as part of Adam Treloar deal; received from North Melbourne as part of Jaidyn Stephenson trade; received from Melbourne as part of Ben Brown trade; received from Adelaide in a pick swap; originally received from the Western Bulldogs in 2019)
34 Sydney (received from West Coast as part of Tom Hickey trade)
35 Port Adelaide (tied to Collingwood, on-traded by Brisbane in 2019)
36 Richmond (tied to St Kilda, on-traded by Collingwood, Fremantle in 2019)
37 Sydney (received from Gold Coast in a pick swap; received from Brisbane in 2019)
38 Carlton (received from Geelong as part of Lachie Fogarty trade)
39 North Melbourne (received from Collingwood as part of Jaidyn Stephenson trade; received from Richmond in 2019)
40 Adelaide (compensation pick for losing free agent Rory Atkins)

 

ROUND THREE

41 Western Bulldogs (received from Adelaide in 2019)
42 Western Bulldogs (received from Collingwood as part of Adam Treloar deal; tied to North Melbourne, on-traded by GWS in 2019)
43 Sydney (received from Melbourne in a pick swap; received from Brisbane in a pick swap; originally received from Sydney in 2019)
44 Essendon (received from GWS* as part of Jye Caldwell trade)
45 Hawthorn
46 Hawthorn (compensation pick for losing free agent Isaac Smith)
47 Port Adelaide*
48 Sydney (received from Carlton in a pick swapreceived from Essendon as part of Adam Saad trade; originally tied to Gold Coast, on-traded by Geelong, Adelaide in 2019)
49 Hawthorn (tied to Essendon, on-traded by Collingwood, Brisbane in 2019)
50 Melbourne (received from Adelaide in a pick swap; originally tied to Fremantle, on-traded by Sydney, St Kilda in 2019)
51 Geelong (received from Carlton as part of Lachie Fogarty trade)
52 Western Bulldogs (received from GWS in a pick swap)
53 Brisbane (received from Melbourne in a pick swap)
54 Western Bulldogs
55 Fremantle (received from GWS for Jesse Hogan; originally from West Coast for Zac Langdon)
56 Fremantle (received from Adelaide in a pick swap; tied to Collingwood, on-traded by Fremantle in 2019)
57 Port Adelaide (received from St Kilda in 2019)
58 Brisbane (received from West Coast as part of Alex Witherden trade; received from Sydney as part of Tom Hickey trade; originally received from Brisbane in 2019)
59 Port Adelaide
60 Sydney (received from West Coast as part of Tom Hickey trade; originally received from Geelong in 2019)
61 Richmond

*Greater Western Sydney's second pick was adjusted due to a 254.2 deficit from 2019 
*Port Adelaide's second pick was adjusted due to a 115.9 deficit from 2019 

ROUND FOUR

62 West Coast (received from Sydney as part of Tom Hickey trade; originally received from Adelaide in 2019)
63 Fremantle (received from Adelaide in a pick swapreceived from Brisbane in a pick swapreceived from North Melbourne as part of Stef Martin-Lachie Young trade)
64 St Kilda (received from Sydney in 2019)
65 Collingwood (received from Hawthorn for Tom Phillips)
66 Collingwood (received from Brisbane in a pick swapreceived from Adelaide in a pick swap; received from Gold Coast in 2019)
67 St Kilda (received from Essendon as part of Nick Hind trade)
68 Collingwood (received from Brisbane in a pick swap; received from Melbourne as part of a pick swap; originally received from Fremantle in 2019)
69 Brisbane (received from Melbourne as part of a pick swap; originally tied to Carlton, on-traded by Fremantle, Adelaide in 2019)
70 Brisbane (received from Collingwood in a pick swapreceived from North Melbourne as part of Jaidyn Stephenson trade; received from Brisbane as part of Stef Martin-Lachie Young trade; originally tied to GWS, on-traded by Port Adelaide, Adelaide in 2019)
71 North Melbourne (tied to Melbourne, on-traded by GWS, Hawthorn in 2019).
72 Hawthorn (received from Western Bulldogs in 2019)
73 Port Adelaide (received from Essendon as part of Orazio Fantasia trade; received from West Coast in 2019)
74 St Kilda (received from Essendon as part of Nick Hind trade; received from GWS* as part of Jye Caldwell trade; originally received from Collingwood in 2019)
75 Collingwood (tied to St Kilda, on-traded by Fremantle in 2019)
76 Gold Coast (received from Brisbane in 2019)
77 Essendon (received from St Kilda as part of Nick Hind trade; received from Port Adelaide in 2019)
78 Carlton (received from Essendon as part of Adam Saad trade; originally received from Geelong in 2019)
79 Richmond

 

ROUND FIVE

80 Adelaide
81 North Melbourne
82 Sydney
83 Hawthorn
84 Gold Coast
85 Essendon
86 West Coast (received from Brisbane as part of Alex Witherden trade; received from Fremantle in 2019)
87 Essendon (received from Carlton as part of Adam Saad trade)
88 GWS
89 Melbourne
90 West Coast
91 Collingwood
92 St Kilda
93 Brisbane
94 Port Adelaide
95 Geelong
96 Richmond

 

ROUND SIX

97 Adelaide
98 North Melbourne
99 Essendon
100 Fremantle
101 Carlton
102 GWS
103 Melbourne
104 West Coast
105 Collingwood
106 St Kilda
107 Geelong
108 Richmond

 

ROUND SEVEN

109 Adelaide 
110 North Melbourne
111 Fremantle
112 Carlton
113 GWS
114 Melbourne
115 West Coast
116 Collingwood
117 Geelong

 

ROUND EIGHT

118 North Melbourne
119 Fremantle
120 Carlton
121 GWS
122 Collingwood

Club-by-club draft picks

YOUR CLUB'S 2020 PICKS

Adelaide 1, 9, 22, 23, 40, 80, 97, 109
Brisbane 25, 53, 58, 69, 70, 93
Carlton 31, 38, 78, 101, 112, 120
Collingwood 14, 16, 65, 66, 68, 75, 91, 105, 116, 122
Essendon 6, 7, 8, 44, 77, 85, 87, 99
Fremantle 12, 32, 55, 56, 63, 100, 111, 119
Geelong 27, 51, 95, 107, 117
Gold Coast 5, 76, 84 
GWS 10, 13, 15, 20, 26, 74, 88, 102, 113, 121
Hawthorn 4, 24, 45, 46, 49, 72  
Melbourne 18, 19, 28, 50, 89, 103, 114
North Melbourne 2, 11, 30, 39, 71, 81, 98, 110, 118
Port Adelaide 35, 47, 57, 59, 73, 94
Richmond 17, 36, 61, 79, 96, 108
St Kilda 21, 64, 67, 74, 92, 106
Sydney 3, 34, 37, 43, 48, 60, 82 
West Coast 62, 86, 90, 104, 115
Western Bulldogs 29, 33, 41, 42, 52, 54

2021 DRAFT SELECTIONS TRADED

  IN OUT
ADEL

- Round two pick (tied to Melbourne)
- Round four pick (tied to Hawthorn)
- Round four pick (tied to Melbourne)
- Round four pick (tied to Fremantle)

- Round four pick to Brisbane 
BL

- Round one pick (tied to Melbourne)
- Round three pick (tied to West Coast
- Round four pick (tied to Collingwood)
- Round four pick (tied to Melbourne)

- Round two pick to Melbourne
- Round four pick to Melbourne 
CARL   - Round three pick (to Sydney, on-traded to Gold Coast)
COLL - Round two pick (tied to Western Bulldogs - Round four pick to Brisbane
ESS - Round three pick (tied to Port Adelaide - Round two pick to GWS
Round four pick to Gold Coast
FRE   - Round four pick to Adelaide
GEEL - Round two pick (tied to Essendon; on-traded by GWS)
- Round two pick (tied to GWS)    
- Round four pick to GWS 
GCFC

- Round three pick (tied to Melbourne; on-traded by Geelong and Brisbane)
- Round three pick (tied to Carlton; on-traded by Sydney)
- Round four pick (tied to Essendon)

- Round three pick to Richmond
GWS - Round four pick (tied to Geelong) - Round two pick to Geelong 
HAW   Round four pick to Adelaide
MELB - Round two pick (tied to Brisbane)
- Round three pick (tied to Western Bulldogs)
- Round four pick (tied to North Melbourne)
- Round one pick to Brisbane
- Round two pick to Adelaide
- Round three pick to Brisbane 
Round four pick to Adelaide
NMFC - Round four pick (tied to Brisbane; on-traded by Melbourne - Round four pick to Melbourne
PORT   - Round two pick to Sydney
- Round three pick to Essendon
RICH - Round two pick (tied to St Kilda)
- Round three pick (tied to Gold Coast)
- Round four pick to St Kilda 
STK - Round four pick (tied to Richmond - Round two pick to Richmond 
SYD   - Round three pick to West Coast 
WCE - Round two pick (tied to Port Adelaide; on-traded by Sydney)
- Round three pick (tied to Sydney
- Round three pick to Brisbane 
WB   - Round two pick to Collingwood
- Round three pick to Melbourne

Draft value index

  ROUND ONE      ROUND TWO      ROUND THREE      ROUND FOUR       ROUND FIVE    
Pick/Pts Pick/Pts Pick/Pts Pick/Pts Pick/Pts
 1. 3000  19. 948  37. 483  55. 207  73. 9
 2. 2517  20. 912  38. 465  56. 194  74. -
 3. 2234  21. 878  39. 446  57. 182  
 4. 2034  22. 845  40. 429  58. 170  
 5. 1878  23. 815  41. 412  59. 158  
 6. 1751  24. 785  42. 395  60. 146  
 7. 1644  25. 756  43. 378  61. 135  
 8. 1551  26. 729  44. 362  62. 123  
 9. 1469  27. 703  45. 347  63. 112  
 10. 1395  28. 677  46. 331  64. 101  
 11. 1329  29. 653  47. 316  65. 90  
 12. 1268  30. 629  48. 302  66. 80  
 13. 1212  31. 606  49. 287  67. 69  
 14. 1161  32. 584  50. 273  68. 59  
 15. 1112  33. 563  51. 259  69. 49  
 16. 1067  34. 542  52. 246  70. 39  
 17. 1025  35. 522  53. 233  71. 29  
 18. 985  36. 502  54. 220  72. 19  

 

 

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